falsita has made $4,168 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #29,848 all time by profit, with 144K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$4,168
- All-time volume (shares)
- 144K
- Portfolio value
- $25K
- Profit this month
- −$109
- Win rate (last 9 closed)
- 78%
How falsita has traded
Across all 9 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 7 (78%) ended in profit and 2 in a loss, for +$4,168 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 58%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 4 of the 9 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $25K together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 38% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$1,633

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$1,550

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 45% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$858

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 72% · closed Aug 26, 2026
+$847

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 48% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$156

Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 9% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$91

TikTok sale announced before May?
No · entry 71% · closed Jun 6, 2025
+$42
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 85% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$836

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 48% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$173
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,250
−$50 P&L

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,529
+$69 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,415
+$2,088 P&L

Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 60%, now 65% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,612
+$108 P&L

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 58%, now 67% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$232
+$32 P&L

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 76%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$231
+$51 P&L

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 86%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$227
+$27 P&L

ByteDance IPO before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 66%, now 12% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$46
−$218 P&L

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 39%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34
−$161 P&L

StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
No · entry 62%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 97%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Bought No at 96%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Sold No at 95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
$4,750

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$1,741

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$9

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$41

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$1

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$1,133

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$32

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$94

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$425

Sold No at 94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
$84

Sold No at 91%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
$4,733

Sold No at 91%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
$2
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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