chunqiu has made $2,442 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #45,017 all time by profit, with 3.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,442
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.0M
- Portfolio value
- $41K
- Profit this month
- +$3,696
- Win rate (last 71 closed)
- 72%
How chunqiu has traded
Across all 71 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 51 (72%) ended in profit and 20 in a loss, for +$37K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 34 of the 71 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $41K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?” (Yes) at 46% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jan 29, 2026
+$27K
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$5,731
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 2, 2026
+$4,935
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$4,266
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$3,028
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Yes · entry 34% · closed May 1, 2026
+$2,244
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$2,220
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$1,954
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jan 14, 2026
+$1,779
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$1,748
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$13K
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Dec 1, 2025
−$6,192
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 54% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$4,257
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 68% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$2,179
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Dec 10, 2025
−$1,957
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 70% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$1,047
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$1,020
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
No · entry 93% · closed Dec 1, 2025
−$664
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · entry 54% · closed May 12, 2026
−$400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed May 1, 2026
−$321
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 60%, now 68% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$2,162 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 71%, now 77% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,945
+$735 P&L
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 72% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,244
+$273 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 69%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,987
+$31 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 87%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,870
+$130 P&L
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Yes · entry 25%, now 25% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$523
−$13 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 24%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 69%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Sold Yes at 70%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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