0x3b5d…8995 has made $10 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #479,832 all time by profit, with 64K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$10
- All-time volume (shares)
- 64K
- Portfolio value
- $2,526
- Profit this month
- −$35
- Win rate (last 12 closed)
- 25%
How 0x3b5d…8995 has traded
Across all 12 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 3 (25%) ended in profit and 9 in a loss, for −$202 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 8 of the 12 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,526 together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 68% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 17% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$136
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Sep 23, 2026
+$4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 95% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$2
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed Apr 15, 2026
−$104
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$66
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 89% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 53% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$26
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
No · entry 16% · closed Apr 19, 2026
−$25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 76% · closed Sep 13, 2026
−$17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$7
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,719
−$12 P&L
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 66%, now 65% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$807
−$12 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 97%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold No at 83%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$819
Sold No at 99%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
$1,174
Sold Yes at 7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$20
Bought No at 99%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
$1,170
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$55
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$35
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$119
Bought Yes at 8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$179
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$66
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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