TheReturnOfDarthMaul
0x3a8a…7699 · Joined February 9, 2026
TheReturnOfDarthMaul has made $1.6M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #110 all time by profit, with 27M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.6M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 27M
- Portfolio value
- $2.5M
- Profit this month
- +$218K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 69%
How TheReturnOfDarthMaul has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 136 (69%) ended in profit and 62 in a loss, for +$1.7M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $2.1M together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2.1M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 40% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$154K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$74K
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$59K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 98% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$53K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$37K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$25K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed May 19, 2026
+$20K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$16K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$16K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 16% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$420K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$324K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$76K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 43% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$45K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$33K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$23K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No · entry 94% · closed May 19, 2026
−$17K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 75% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$17K
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
No · entry 32% · closed May 19, 2026
−$16K
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jun 10, 2026
−$16K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 59%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$589K
+$241K P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$570K
+$99K P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No · entry 90%, now 95% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$169K
+$7,673 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No · entry 82%, now 83% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$122K
+$194 P&L
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 72% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$100K
−$21K P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes · entry 70%, now 78% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$85K
+$9,163 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 28%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$83K
−$4,609 P&L
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · entry 85%, now 68% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$72K
−$19K P&L
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 81%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$61K
−$3,799 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$55K
−$100 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$55K
−$50 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 94%, now >99% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$51K
+$3,016 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes · entry 79%, now 87% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47K
+$3,821 P&L
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 78%, now 97% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$43K
+$8,578 P&L
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 78% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$39K
−$3,750 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 91%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 93%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Bought No at 95%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Bought No at 95%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Bought No at 95%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Bought No at 96%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Bought No at 75%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Bought No at 87%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Bought No at 95%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Bought No at 96%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.