kekkone has made $145K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,394 all time by profit, with 7.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$145K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.1M
- Portfolio value
- $47K
- Profit this month
- +$4,944
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 77%
How kekkone has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 152 (77%) ended in profit and 45 in a loss, for +$35K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $47K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 41% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Dec 2, 2025
+$17K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$7,188
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$5,803
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$5,771
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 65% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$5,682
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$4,323
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$4,285
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$4,192
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$4,125
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 86% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$3,831
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Israel military action against Iran before July?
No · entry 54% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$4,850
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 27% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$3,475
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$3,014
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 37% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$3,008
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
No · entry 54% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$2,934
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 40% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$2,314
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 9% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$2,211
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jun 4, 2025
−$2,006
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · entry 28% · closed May 12, 2026
−$1,915
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$1,908
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 71%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$2,616 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 69%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$667 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 70%, now 70% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,394
−$54 P&L
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 83%, now 69% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$3,276
−$671 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 62%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,728
+$41 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,651
+$24 P&L
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
No · entry 48%, now 56% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,384
+$220 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes · entry 47%, now 36% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$900
−$274 P&L
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 41%, now 41% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$429
−$5 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$408
+$10 P&L
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 19%, now 23% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$379
+$58 P&L
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 69%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$378
+$31 P&L
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$271
+$5 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes · entry 31%, now 28% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$268
−$31 P&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 16%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$70
−$32 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 84%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 85%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Sold Yes at 82%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought No at 40%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Sold Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Sold Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Sold Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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