Rundown-Regard has made $70K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,715 all time by profit, with 20M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$70K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 20M
- Portfolio value
- $130K
- Profit this month
- +$42K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 51%
How Rundown-Regard has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 100 (51%) ended in profit and 98 in a loss, for +$6,272 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $81K together, the biggest is “Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 15% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$20K

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$16K

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jan 2, 2026
+$15K

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
No · entry 28% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$15K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
No · entry 2% · closed Apr 27, 2026
+$15K

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$14K

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jan 23, 2026
+$11K

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No · entry 0.8% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$10K

Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 12, 2026
+$10K

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jan 13, 2026
+$10K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jul 12, 2026
−$22K

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$15K

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?
No · entry 90% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$15K

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$13K

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$12K

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 29% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$9,376

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$9,371

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Apr 13, 2026
−$9,293

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$8,243

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?
No · entry 90% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$7,941
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$345 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 69%, now 75% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$950 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,466
+$24 P&L

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,872
+$127 P&L

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 99%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,444
−$38 P&L

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 78%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,533
+$233 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 66%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,468
−$119 P&L

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 82%, now 78% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,103
−$235 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 30%, now 25% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,009
−$686 P&L

Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes · entry 80%, now 79% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,994
−$85 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 51%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$3,935
+$152 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 67%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,902
−$98 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 26%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,567
−$28 P&L

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Mbappé · entry 60%, now 71% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,498
+$525 P&L

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 48%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$3,420
−$115 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 23%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 75%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 26%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 73%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 73%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 26%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 26%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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