Aurelius7 is down $1,422 in realized results on Polymarket, with 843K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,422
- All-time volume (shares)
- 843K
- Portfolio value
- $6,175
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 70%
How Aurelius7 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 140 (70%) ended in profit and 60 in a loss, for +$24K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 83 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,782 together, the biggest is “Spread: Rams (-2.5)” (Rams) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US military action against Iran before July?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jun 22, 2025
+$4,874

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Yes · entry 1% · closed May 14, 2025
+$3,158

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$1,830

Lions vs. 49ers
Lions · entry 58% · closed Dec 31, 2024
+$1,328

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$1,191

Vikings vs. Bears
Vikings · entry 55% · closed Nov 24, 2024
+$1,012

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$975

49ers vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5
Over · entry 56% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$819

Spread: Iowa (-7.5)
Minnesota · entry 52% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$755

Spread: USC (-3.5)
Wisconsin · entry 58% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$749
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Super Bowl LIX Winner
Chiefs · entry 53% · closed Mar 29, 2025
−$5,399

Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 21, 2025
−$3,800

Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Mar 29, 2025
−$2,250

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Nov 5, 2025
−$1,257

Rams vs. 49ers
49ers · entry 49% · closed Dec 23, 2024
−$720

Dolphins vs. Jets
Dolphins · entry 53% · closed Jan 7, 2025
−$575

Vikings vs. Lions
Vikings · entry 40% · closed Jan 7, 2025
−$550

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
No · entry 47% · closed Dec 1, 2024
−$520

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 21, 2025
−$500

Packers vs. Seahawks
Seahawks · entry 44% · closed Dec 23, 2024
−$500
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Spread: Rams (-2.5)
Rams · entry 58%, now 94% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$975
+$375 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 61%, now 31% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$760
−$740 P&L

Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
Over · entry 55%, now 93% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$757
+$307 P&L

Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5
Over · entry 56%, now 78% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$696
+$196 P&L

Chiefs vs. Seahawks
Seahawks · entry 59%, now 59% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$620
−$5 P&L

Spread: Lions (-2.5)
Lions · entry 60%, now 62% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$410
+$10 P&L

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 54%, now 52% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$388
−$12 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$358
+$58 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 36%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$253
+$3 P&L

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 72%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$204
+$4 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$106
+$6 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$101
+$1 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 57% · ends Nov 4, 2026

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes · entry 23%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36
−$14 P&L

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20
−$44 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 38%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 39%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Over at 55%
Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Over at >99%
49ers vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Buccaneers at >99%
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)

Bought Vikings at 57%
Colts vs. Vikings
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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