Trained-Notion
0x36da…907b · Joined November 9, 2025
Trained-Notion is down $3,731 in realized results on Polymarket, with 899K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$3,731
- All-time volume (shares)
- 899K
- Portfolio value
- $46K
- Profit this month
- +$3,487
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 76%
How Trained-Notion has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 151 (76%) ended in profit and 48 in a loss, for +$21K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $41K together, the biggest is “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?” (Yes) at 54% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
No · entry 76% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$4,761
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$2,275
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$2,006
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,528
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$1,321
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Sep 27, 2026
+$1,225
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$1,079
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,043
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$1,042
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$779
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
No · entry 30% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$796
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$605
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$504
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 24?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Apr 26, 2026
−$499
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$392
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?
No · entry 77% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$361
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
No · entry 27% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$352
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 53% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$339
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?
No · entry 67% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$298
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 17 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$228
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 95%, now 99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$22K
+$760 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,749
+$52 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes · entry 87%, now 91% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,264
+$138 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Yes · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,699
+$96 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No · entry 68%, now 74% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,395
+$113 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 65%, now 66% · ends Nov 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,204
+$16 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · entry 75%, now 75% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,118
−$8 P&L
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No · entry 65%, now 59% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$994
−$105 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
No · entry 54%, now 50% · ends Jun 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$977
−$73 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$966
−$42 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
No · entry 70%, now 75% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$868
+$50 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
No · entry 61%, now 65% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$845
+$56 P&L
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$743
+$20 P&L
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 80%, now 41% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$718
−$677 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 67%, now 71% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$497
+$27 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at >99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Sold Yes at >99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 91%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Bought Yes at 91%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Bought Yes at 91%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Bought No at 92%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 91%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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