melchior1248
0x3690…e16f · Joined December 3, 2025
melchior1248 has made $94K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,055 all time by profit, with 29M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$94K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 29M
- Portfolio value
- $335
- Profit this month
- −$365K
- Win rate (last 5 closed)
- 80%
How melchior1248 has traded
Across the 5 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 4 (80%) ended in profit and 1 in a loss, for +$332 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 83%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $300 together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?” (No) at 40% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$24K
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
No · entry 21% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$18K
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 17% · closed Jun 8, 2026
+$13K
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
No · entry 64% · closed May 26, 2026
+$13K
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 8, 2026
+$13K
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Feb 10, 2026
+$12K
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Mar 10, 2026
+$12K
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed May 22, 2026
+$12K
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
No · entry 44% · closed May 26, 2026
+$11K
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed May 17, 2026
+$11K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 80% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$16K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$15K
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Yes · entry 49% · closed May 8, 2026
−$13K
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
No · entry 56% · closed May 26, 2026
−$11K
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?
No · entry 45% · closed Apr 17, 2026
−$11K
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$10K
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
No · entry 99% · closed May 8, 2026
−$9,132
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
No · entry 53% · closed May 17, 2026
−$9,114
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
No · entry >99% · closed May 8, 2026
−$8,985
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Feb 12, 2026
−$8,176
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
No · entry 78%, now 76% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$120
−$4 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 10%, now 23% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$58
+$32 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 41%, now 44% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?
No · entry 97%, now 95% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
No · entry 91%, now 47% · ends Jun 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19
−$18 P&L
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
No · entry 45%, now 45% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?
No · entry 58%, now 57% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 31%, now 31% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 18%, now 30% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 58%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?
Bought No at 97%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?
Bought No at 18%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Bought No at 31%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 42%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought No at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought Yes at 40%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 83%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Bought No at 57%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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