bluemario is down $1.4M in realized results on Polymarket, with 57M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1.4M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 57M
- Portfolio value
- $16K
- Profit this month
- −$881K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 52%
How bluemario has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 103 (52%) ended in profit and 97 in a loss, for −$840K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 38%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 195 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $16K together, the biggest is “Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?” (No) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
Under · entry 53% · closed Aug 29, 2026
+$173K

Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5
Under · entry 44% · closed Oct 11, 2026
+$151K

FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 27% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$104K

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 42% · closed Aug 29, 2026
+$97K

KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 58% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$96K

Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 51% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$88K

PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya: O/U 1.5
Under · entry 61% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$68K

Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
Under · entry 35% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$68K

SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 20% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$61K

FK Liepaja vs. FK Tukums 2000/TSS: O/U 0.5
Under · entry 12% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$59K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 48% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$182K

Qairat FK vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5
Under · entry 65% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$156K

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 67% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$146K

Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 30% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$126K

Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 53% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$106K

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5
Under · entry 24% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$106K

Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 40% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$93K

Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 29% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$91K

Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 21% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$84K

Juventus FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
Under · entry 43% · closed Aug 29, 2026
−$78K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,267
+$160 P&L

CA River Plate vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 50%, now 50% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,054
−$41 P&L

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,179
+$98 P&L

CA Independiente vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 62%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$2,495
+$947 P&L

Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$753
+$5 P&L

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 13%, now 29% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$264
+$144 P&L

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$179
+$7 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Under at 50%
CA River Plate vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 62%
CA Independiente vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5

Sold Under at 99%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Sold Under at 99%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Sold Under at 99%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Sold Under at 99%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Sold Under at 99%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5

Bought Under at 58%
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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