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themagicofcinema

themagicofcinema

0x33e2…3a1b · Joined May 26, 2026

#4,134 all time#668 this monthView on Polymarket

themagicofcinema has made $43K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,134 all time by profit, with 5.6M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$43K
All-time volume (shares)
5.6M
Portfolio value
$53K
Profit this month
+$26K
Win rate (last 195 closed)
62%

How themagicofcinema has traded

Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 121 (62%) ended in profit and 74 in a loss, for +$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $53K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 60% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?

    No · entry 66% · closed Aug 30, 2026

    +$6,223

  • US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?

    No · entry 0.6% · closed Oct 13, 2026

    +$5,009

  • Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

    Yes · entry 37% · closed Oct 23, 2026

    +$4,719

  • Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed Oct 16, 2026

    +$3,601

  • Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$3,580

  • Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 20% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    +$3,493

  • Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    +$3,257

  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

    Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jun 14, 2026

    +$3,193

  • Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 99% · closed Jun 24, 2026

    +$3,015

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

    No · entry 0.4% · closed Aug 5, 2026

    +$2,901

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?

    Yes · entry 71% · closed Aug 30, 2026

    −$7,817

  • US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Oct 12, 2026

    −$5,000

  • Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

    No · entry 92% · closed Jul 6, 2026

    −$3,870

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?

    Yes · entry 74% · closed Aug 30, 2026

    −$3,832

  • Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    No · entry 94% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    −$3,419

  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 16, 2026

    −$3,176

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Aug 5, 2026

    −$3,003

  • Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?

    No · entry >99% · closed Oct 8, 2026

    −$2,837

  • Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Sep 21, 2026

    −$2,383

  • Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?

    No · entry 96% · closed Aug 3, 2026

    −$2,289

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026

    $32K

    +$45 P&L

  • US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

    Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 23, 2026

    $10K

    +$67 P&L

  • Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?

    No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Oct 20, 2026

    $4,561

    +$67 P&L

  • Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

    No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $2,985

    +$48 P&L

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    No · entry 81%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026

    $2,969

    +$569 P&L

  • Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

    No · entry 91%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $130

    +$11 P&L

  • Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?

    Yes · entry 13%, now 27% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $25

    +$13 P&L

  • NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 24%, now 7% · ends Nov 16, 2026

    $6

    −$17 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    Yes · entry 16%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027

    $1

    +$0 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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