lowrisk24
0x3238…3291 · Joined August 25, 2024
lowrisk24 is down $109K in realized results on Polymarket, with 7.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 19, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$109K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.2M
- Portfolio value
- $14K
- Profit this month
- +$160
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 83%
How lowrisk24 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 165 (83%) ended in profit and 35 in a loss, for −$20K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 91%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 101 of the 200 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $14K together, the biggest is “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?” (No) at 31% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 1, 2025
+$5,270
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 88% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$4,879
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$3,675
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
No · entry 88% · closed Aug 1, 2025
+$3,547
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$3,088
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?
Up · entry 81% · closed Oct 3, 2025
+$2,961
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
No · entry 90% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,925
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?
Up · entry 85% · closed Oct 8, 2025
+$2,809
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
No · entry 82% · closed Aug 1, 2025
+$2,782
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?
No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$2,488
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Megaquake before August?
No · entry 95% · closed Aug 2, 2025
−$31K
Megaquake in 2025?
No · entry 62% · closed Jul 30, 2025
−$27K
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
No · entry 61% · closed Nov 6, 2025
−$14K
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Yes · entry 94% · closed Aug 22, 2025
−$10K
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
No · entry 94% · closed Jun 21, 2025
−$9,212
North Korea missile test by January 31?
No · entry 81% · closed Jan 6, 2025
−$8,105
Will Solana dip to $185 in October?
No · entry 83% · closed Oct 29, 2025
−$7,626
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
No · entry 86% · closed May 7, 2025
−$7,608
Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?
Down · entry 92% · closed Oct 21, 2025
−$7,571
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?
No · entry 81% · closed May 6, 2025
−$7,511
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No · entry 86%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,206
+$336 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,660
+$100 P&L
Nothing Ever Happens: October
Nothing · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,151
+$30 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,080
+$71 P&L
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Yes · entry 85%, now 89% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$981
+$39 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$805
+$15 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$720
+$85 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Nothing at 97%
Nothing Ever Happens: October
Sold Yes at 97%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Nothing at 95%
Nothing Ever Happens: October
Bought No at 92%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Bought Yes at 85%
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Bought No at 86%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$5
Bought No at 81%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
$620
Sold No at 39%
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
$195
Sold No at 53%
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
$424
Bought No at 94%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?
$1,034
Bought No at 94%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?
$47
Bought Yes at 89%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$3,560
Bought No at 87%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$87
Bought No at 87%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$494
Bought No at 91%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
$283
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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