
truthteller has made $145K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,393 all time by profit, with 150M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$145K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 150M
- Portfolio value
- $56K
- Profit this month
- +$4,428
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 58%
How truthteller has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 115 (58%) ended in profit and 82 in a loss, for −$13K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 42%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $50K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Bitboy · entry 25% · closed Dec 6, 2024
+$45K

Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$35K

Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
No · entry >99% · closed May 31, 2024
+$35K

Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$29K

Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Nov 10, 2024
+$29K

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$26K

Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$25K

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Mar 1, 2025
+$24K

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 64% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$23K

Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$18K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
No · entry 11% · closed Jul 16, 2024
−$69K

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
No · entry 50% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$56K

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 16, 2024
−$53K

Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Jan 1, 2025
−$47K

Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
No · entry 52% · closed Nov 20, 2024
−$38K

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
No · entry 82% · closed Mar 1, 2025
−$33K

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Apr 1, 2025
−$20K

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Dec 11, 2025
−$17K

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 38% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$17K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 11% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$16K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 22%, now 21% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
−$657 P&L

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
Yes · entry 31%, now 31% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,925
−$108 P&L

Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,239
+$34 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 24%, now 24% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,179
−$182 P&L

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 4%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,117
+$3,183 P&L

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 23%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,533
−$776 P&L

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes · entry 71%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,516
+$150 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,469
+$2,265 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 63%, now 68% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,960
+$144 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,372
+$5 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 36%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,297
+$54 P&L

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,225
+$320 P&L

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 0.3%, now 0.1% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,170
−$833 P&L

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 21%, now 23% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$909
+$43 P&L

Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$866
−$0 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 95%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Sold No at 95%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Sold No at 95%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Sold No at 95%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Sold No at 95%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Sold Yes at 38%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Bought Yes at 18%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Bought Yes at 18%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Bought Yes at 18%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Sold Yes at 21%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Bought Yes at 18%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Bought Yes at 19%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Sold No at 25%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Bought Yes at 19%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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