randomWalkingShrimp
0x30d1…4525 · Joined July 15, 2024
randomWalkingShrimp has made $40K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,443 all time by profit, with 1.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$40K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.1M
- Portfolio value
- $39K
- Profit this month
- −$1,095
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 90%
How randomWalkingShrimp has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 177 (90%) ended in profit and 20 in a loss, for +$4,571 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 82%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $22K together, the biggest is “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$5,046
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
No · entry 63% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$2,549
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Mar 31, 2026
+$1,972
TikTok banned in 2025?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Jan 19, 2025
+$1,391
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry 73% · closed Apr 24, 2025
+$1,189
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Jul 10, 2025
+$1,085
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 1, 2025
+$943
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Nov 13, 2025
+$731
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 49% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$704
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$681
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$3,121
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
No · entry 54% · closed Jan 19, 2025
−$1,307
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$1,043
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 83% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$894
Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?
No · entry 83% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$869
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 54% · closed May 19, 2025
−$714
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 10, 2025
−$595
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
No · entry 26% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$561
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Sep 19, 2025
−$540
US-China trade deal before June?
No · entry 23% · closed May 12, 2025
−$422
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No · entry 90%, now 99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,494
+$391 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 99% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,284
+$156 P&L
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,251
+$147 P&L
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,724
+$58 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
No · entry 65%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,432
+$402 P&L
Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,233
+$68 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 69%, now 61% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,167
−$158 P&L
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,074
+$110 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 75%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,063
+$79 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 55%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,041
+$198 P&L
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$993
+$157 P&L
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$864
+$89 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$858
+$72 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
No · entry 65%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$781
+$230 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$736
+$52 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 79%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Bought No at 75%
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought No at 79%
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought No at 99%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 99%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 86%
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 90%
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 90%
Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 71%
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 88%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Bought No at 90%
Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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