bonalddrunk
0x3089…92f6 · Joined August 5, 2024
bonalddrunk is down $11K in realized results on Polymarket, with 983K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$11K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 983K
- Portfolio value
- $40K
- Profit this month
- +$7,540
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 56%
How bonalddrunk has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 113 (56%) ended in profit and 87 in a loss, for −$2,813 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$5,538
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
No · entry 80% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$2,875
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$2,476
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$2,377
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 30% · closed Jun 28, 2026
+$1,708
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 61% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$1,572
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
No · entry 72% · closed Jun 26, 2026
+$1,569
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
No · entry 60% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$1,568
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$1,562
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 13% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$1,414
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
No · entry 44% · closed Jul 14, 2026
−$4,423
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Oct 6, 2026
−$3,420
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
No · entry 45% · closed Sep 13, 2026
−$3,406
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$2,697
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · entry 38% · closed Aug 6, 2026
−$2,626
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 78% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$2,248
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$2,106
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
No · entry 68% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$2,068
Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Germany?
No · entry 72% · closed Jun 23, 2026
−$1,827
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$1,731
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,618
−$14 P&L
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Jan 18, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,150
+$173 P&L
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
Yes · entry 68%, now 73% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,184
+$70 P&L
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
No · entry 85%, now 89% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,140
+$42 P&L
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
No · entry 31%, now 65% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$989
+$518 P&L
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$963
+$56 P&L
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No · entry 79%, now 79% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$954
−$3 P&L
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 12% or more?
No · entry 90%, now >99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$893
+$88 P&L
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
No · entry 20%, now 26% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$745
+$173 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 80%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$707
+$108 P&L
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?
No · entry 65%, now 81% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$650
+$131 P&L
Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?
No · entry 34%, now 98% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$576
+$376 P&L
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 20%-25%?
No · entry 74%, now 87% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$560
+$85 P&L
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$543
+$61 P&L
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
Yes · entry 18%, now 31% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$523
+$215 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 77%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?
Bought No at 76%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?
Sold No at 99%
Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?
Bought Yes at 94%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 84%
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?
Sold No at 97%
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?
Bought No at 79%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?
Sold Yes at 46%
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 65%
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Bought No at 94%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
Bought Yes at 34%
Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 17%
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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