
scout has made $302K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #691 all time by profit, with 52M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$302K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 52M
- Portfolio value
- $709K
- Profit this month
- −$3,047
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 89%
How scout has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 175 (89%) ended in profit and 21 in a loss, for +$95K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 90%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $709K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$71K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$29K

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 9, 2025
+$21K

Netanyahu out by March 31?
No · entry 99% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$15K

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$14K

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Oct 18, 2024
+$13K

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Dec 24, 2025
+$9,315

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
+$7,925

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Dec 6, 2025
+$7,850

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$7,826
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$25K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$25K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$21K

US military action against Iran by Saturday?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$15K

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$12K

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K

US military action against Iran by Sunday?
No · entry 86% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$9,147

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 8, 2024
−$8,438

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 27, 2026
−$6,963

US military action against Iran by Monday?
No · entry 83% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$6,270
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$232K
−$15K P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry >99%, now 99% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$189K
−$1,239 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$104K
+$1,259 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 89%, now 90% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$85K
+$1,061 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 70%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$43K
+$1,401 P&L

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$779 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$360 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 79%, now 80% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$88 P&L

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,205
+$155 P&L

Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,377
+$11 P&L

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 79%, now 76% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,510
−$72 P&L

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$507
+$11 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 90%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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