Mamedkazah is down $40 in realized results on Polymarket, with 35K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$40
- All-time volume (shares)
- 35K
- Portfolio value
- $449
- Profit this month
- +$187
- Win rate (last 24 closed)
- 42%
How Mamedkazah has traded
Across all 24 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 10 (42%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for −$21 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 62%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $449 together, the biggest is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No) at 99% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$1,591

Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$1,175

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$490

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of July 6 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$90

US recession in 2025?
No · entry 75% · closed Mar 17, 2026
+$5

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Mar 21, 2026
+$5

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
No · entry 89% · closed Mar 17, 2026
+$4

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Down · entry 89% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$1

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$0

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$0
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$1,580

Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$1,175

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$490

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of July 6 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$90

Will England win the 2024 Euros?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 28, 2024
−$17

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Dec 6, 2025
−$10

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Feb 19, 2025
−$5

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$5

Will Keir Starmer be next UK prime minister?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Jun 20, 2024
−$3

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$444
−$0 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 38%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Recent trades

Sold No at 95%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Sold No at 99%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Bought No at 99%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Bought No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Bought No at 95%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Sold Yes at 7%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$270

Sold No at 93%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$3,441

Bought Yes at 98%
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
$10

Bought No at 98%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
$15

Bought Yes at 38%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$5

Bought Down at 88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
$5

Bought Yes at 28%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
$11

Sold No at 98%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,608

Bought No at 98%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,610

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?
$9
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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