Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

Substantial-Service

0x2c33…0563 · Joined October 8, 2025

#32 all time#669,052 this monthView on Polymarket

Substantial-Service has made $4.1M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #32 all time by profit, with 1.3B shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$4.1M
All-time volume (shares)
1.3B
Portfolio value
$3.1M
Profit this month
−$4.4M
Win rate (last 199 closed)
78%

How Substantial-Service has traded

Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 156 (78%) ended in profit and 43 in a loss, for +$1.5M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 165 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $2.9M together, the biggest is “Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)” (Real Madrid CF) at 22% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$2.1M

  • Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$1.4M

  • Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 20, 2026

    +$1.3M

  • Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

    Yes · entry 55% · closed Jun 28, 2026

    +$1.0M

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

    Cincinnati Reds · entry 30% · closed Sep 23, 2026

    +$1.0M

  • Spurs vs. Knicks

    Knicks · entry >99% · closed Jun 11, 2026

    +$863K

  • Will France win on 2026-07-18?

    No · entry 53% · closed Jul 18, 2026

    +$788K

  • Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

    Washington Nationals · entry >99% · closed Sep 23, 2026

    +$787K

  • Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

    No · entry >99% · closed May 31, 2026

    +$716K

  • Exact Score: Any Other Score?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 18, 2026

    +$708K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$1.3M

  • Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    No · entry 98% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    −$1.3M

  • Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$979K

  • Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?

    No · entry 88% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$868K

  • Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?

    No · entry 48% · closed Oct 14, 2026

    −$725K

  • Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

    Yes · entry 82% · closed Jun 21, 2026

    −$721K

  • Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

    Yes · entry 49% · closed Jun 16, 2026

    −$715K

  • Will England win on 2026-07-05?

    No · entry 59% · closed Jul 7, 2026

    −$679K

  • Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Sep 24, 2026

    −$677K

  • Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs

    TEAM VISION · entry 55% · closed Aug 23, 2026

    −$671K

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.