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Somber-Ice

0x2b67…b814 · Joined May 11, 2026

#5,912 all time#1,313 this monthView on Polymarket

Somber-Ice has made $29K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #5,912 all time by profit, with 4.1M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$29K
All-time volume (shares)
4.1M
Portfolio value
$48K
Profit this month
+$12K
Win rate (last 200 closed)
62%

How Somber-Ice has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 124 (62%) ended in profit and 76 in a loss, for +$26K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $42K together, the biggest is “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?” (No) at 28% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 9% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$31K

  • Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

    Yes · entry 12% · closed Jul 2, 2026

    +$11K

  • Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

    Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 30, 2026

    +$9,524

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 34% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$6,945

  • US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

    Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 21, 2026

    +$5,088

  • AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

    Yes · entry 49% · closed Sep 2, 2026

    +$5,009

  • Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?

    Yes · entry 52% · closed Sep 4, 2026

    +$3,476

  • Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed May 16, 2026

    +$3,204

  • Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

    No · entry 71% · closed Jun 27, 2026

    +$2,896

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 71% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    +$2,894

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

    No · entry 21% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$8,088

  • Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

    No · entry 92% · closed May 16, 2026

    −$5,154

  • Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

    Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 23, 2026

    −$4,366

  • Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

    Yes · entry 73% · closed Jul 8, 2026

    −$3,079

  • Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?

    No · entry 52% · closed Sep 4, 2026

    −$2,060

  • Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    Yes · entry 24% · closed Oct 3, 2026

    −$1,938

  • Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?

    Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 12, 2026

    −$1,889

  • Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?

    Yes · entry 81% · closed Jul 24, 2026

    −$1,815

  • Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 23, 2026

    −$1,791

  • Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

    No · entry 95% · closed Jun 16, 2026

    −$1,604

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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