allen111 is down $78K in realized results on Polymarket, with 9.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$78K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9.6M
- Portfolio value
- $118K
- Profit this month
- +$9,115
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 92%
How allen111 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 183 (92%) ended in profit and 17 in a loss, for +$185K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 125 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $118K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 59% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
No · entry 45% · closed Dec 17, 2024
+$27K
Knicks vs. Hawks
Knicks · entry 69% · closed May 1, 2026
+$13K
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?
No · entry 72% · closed Apr 15, 2025
+$11K
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Seahawks · entry 92% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$9,956
Celtics vs. 76ers
Celtics · entry 79% · closed Apr 26, 2026
+$9,480
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Cavaliers · entry 89% · closed Apr 21, 2026
+$9,035
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 27?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jun 29, 2025
+$8,800
Raptors vs. Celtics
Celtics · entry 81% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$7,372
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
Pistons · entry 56% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$6,549
Kings vs. Lakers
Lakers · entry 87% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$6,500
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
No · entry 70% · closed Dec 10, 2024
−$80K
Trump wins every swing state?
No · entry 72% · closed Dec 10, 2024
−$57K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$56K
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
No · entry 87% · closed Mar 2, 2025
−$20K
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Cavaliers · entry 68% · closed May 3, 2026
−$11K
Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?
No · entry 82% · closed Dec 10, 2024
−$8,995
Pistons vs. Magic
Pistons · entry 65% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$8,614
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 30% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$7,512
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?
No · entry 83% · closed Dec 18, 2025
−$7,041
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 23?
No · entry 98% · closed Nov 23, 2025
−$6,289
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 89%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$69K
+$3,196 P&L
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$392 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 67%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$5,836 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,850
−$6,850 P&L
Recent trades
Bought at 77%
Nets vs. Cavaliers AND Pelicans vs. Nuggets
$2,472
Sold Nuggets at 80%
Pelicans vs. Nuggets
Bought at 60%
Nets vs. Cavaliers AND Pelicans vs. Nuggets AND Spurs vs. Mavericks
$1,961
Bought at 55%
Bucks vs. 76ers AND Nets vs. Cavaliers AND Pelicans vs. Nuggets
$2,445
Bought at 66%
Nets vs. Cavaliers AND Pelicans vs. Nuggets
$2,458
Bought Nuggets at 81%
Pelicans vs. Nuggets
Sold No at 3%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold No at 2%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold No at 90%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought Lakers at 76%
Clippers vs. Lakers
Bought Yes at 92%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 90%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 88%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 85%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 96%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$6,164
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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