Trading4Fridge has made $64K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,929 all time by profit, with 13M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$64K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 13M
- Portfolio value
- $2,037
- Profit this month
- +$5,626
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 57%
How Trading4Fridge has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 114 (57%) ended in profit and 86 in a loss, for −$5,764 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 53%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,629 together, the biggest is “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?” (Yes) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry 6% · closed May 27, 2026
+$9,994
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 25% · closed May 9, 2026
+$8,996
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$5,924
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jan 14, 2026
+$5,502
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$5,303
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
No · entry 42% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$4,539
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
No · entry 36% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$4,393
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Mar 26, 2026
+$4,372
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jul 11, 2026
+$4,230
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jun 11, 2026
+$4,067
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jul 9, 2026
−$13K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 67% · closed May 21, 2026
−$8,477
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No · entry 76% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$7,888
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 30% · closed Mar 2, 2026
−$7,196
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Aug 4, 2026
−$5,976
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
No · entry 65% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$5,336
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Sep 18, 2026
−$4,406
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$3,852
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 71% · closed May 1, 2026
−$3,608
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
No · entry 69% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$3,398
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$536
−$279 P&L
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 32%, now 70% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$153
+$83 P&L
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes · entry 34%, now 10% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$113
−$274 P&L
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 0.3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$106
−$4,254 P&L
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 40%, now 39% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$104
−$3 P&L
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes · entry 18%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$90
−$149 P&L
NATO dissolves before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes · entry 36%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$71
−$118 P&L
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 28%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$62
−$475 P&L
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes · entry 26%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$57
−$106 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47
−$665 P&L
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 96% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Yes · entry 11%, now 7% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37
−$22 P&L
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Yes · entry 32%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36
−$72 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 7%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 82%
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Sold No at 90%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Sold Yes at 97%
GTA VI released by November 30?
Sold Yes at 4%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?
Sold Yes at 50%
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Sold Yes at 26%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Sold No at 98%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Sold Yes at 18%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
Sold No at 91%
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 88%
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 5%
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 23%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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