
debased has made $1.4M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #132 all time by profit, with 511M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.4M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 511M
- Portfolio value
- $707K
- Profit this month
- +$63K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 46%
How debased has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 91 (46%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for −$259K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $656K together, the biggest is “Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” (No) at 49% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jul 9, 2025
+$2.1M

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$891K

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 14, 2026
+$825K

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$650K

Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry <0.1% · closed Jun 3, 2025
+$625K

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
No · entry 1% · closed Jun 3, 2025
+$515K

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed May 1, 2026
+$490K

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$489K

US government shutdown Saturday?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$473K

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Jan 22, 2025
+$454K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 9, 2025
−$2.1M

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$887K

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$647K

Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 3, 2025
−$610K

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 3, 2025
−$555K

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
−$489K

US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$468K

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 49% · closed May 19, 2025
−$465K

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$433K

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 28, 2026
−$332K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 50%, now 60% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$319K
+$51K P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$216K
−$51K P&L

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
+$3,605 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 81%, now 85% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$915 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 72%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$9 P&L

Plague pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,701
+$249 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,399
+$95 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 21%, now 81% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,086
+$5,997 P&L

New pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,513
+$702 P&L

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,565
+$100 P&L

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,830
+$20 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 10%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,988
−$910 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 8%, now 18% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,763
+$2,607 P&L

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,742
+$26 P&L

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,040
+$199 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 83%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 15%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 82%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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