crcl10002027
0x2470…22e5 · Joined April 20, 2026
crcl10002027 is down $919 in realized results on Polymarket, with 156K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$919
- All-time volume (shares)
- 156K
- Portfolio value
- $3,847
- Profit this month
- −$75
- Win rate (last 40 closed)
- 30%
How crcl10002027 has traded
Across all 40 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 12 (30%) ended in profit and 28 in a loss, for −$871 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 42%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $3,847 together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 25% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 77% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$466
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 7, 2026
+$30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$9
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?
Up · entry 70% · closed May 7, 2026
+$6
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 23, 2026
+$3
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
No · entry 23% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$3
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$2
Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1
Netanyahu out by July 31?
No · entry 99% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$1
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$254
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
No · entry 15% · closed Aug 2, 2026
−$250
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
No · entry 8% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$243
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
No · entry 21% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$186
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
No · entry 7% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
No · entry 23% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$81
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$49
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$42
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?
Down · entry 48% · closed May 7, 2026
−$39
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Yes · entry 16% · closed May 7, 2026
−$35
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 50%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$968
+$218 P&L
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$590
+$0 P&L
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 59%, now 57% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$567
−$22 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 36%, now 36% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$533
−$8 P&L
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 41%, now 43% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$433
+$22 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$190
−$0 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$181
−$1 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$133
+$6 P&L
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will UNI dip to $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold No at 6%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 6%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 6%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 6%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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