GaryCaoQi is down $348 in realized results on Polymarket, with 139K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 15, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$348
- All-time volume (shares)
- 139K
- Portfolio value
- $1,767
- Profit this month
- +$1
- Win rate (last 18 closed)
- 67%
How GaryCaoQi has traded
Across all 18 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 12 (67%) ended in profit and 6 in a loss, for +$5,869 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,767 together, the biggest is “Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?” (No) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
No · entry 68% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,149

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
No · entry 77% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$1,746

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,569

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,211

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
No · entry 70% · closed Dec 7, 2025
+$491

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 52% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$73

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Gold · entry 65% · closed Jan 26, 2026
+$63

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Jan 17, 2026
+$50

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$28

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 74% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$11
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Fed rate hike in 2026?
No · entry 47% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$1,901

Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$196

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$180

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Dec 12, 2025
−$120

Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$98

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Jan 28, 2026
−$36
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,767
+$217 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 96%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$250

Bought No at 95%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$300

Sold No at 12%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$619

Bought No at 60%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
$10

Bought No at 54%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$2

Bought No at 54%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$433

Bought No at 80%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,000

Bought No at 44%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$12

Bought No at 44%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1,980

Sold No at 75%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$654

Bought No at 81%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$493

Sold Yes at 39%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$6

Sold Yes at 39%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8

Bought No at 57%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$150

Bought No at 78%
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
$179
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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