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flawfence

0x23d8…0288 · Joined April 25, 2026

#407 all time#47 this monthView on Polymarket

flawfence has made $506K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #407 all time by profit, with 30M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$506K
All-time volume (shares)
30M
Portfolio value
$1.3M
Profit this month
+$465K
Win rate (last 198 closed)
75%

How flawfence has traded

Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 148 (75%) ended in profit and 50 in a loss, for +$860K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 148 of the 198 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1.2M together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 43% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    No · entry 61% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    +$129K

  • England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

    Argentina · entry 46% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    +$99K

  • Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

    Norway · entry 30% · closed Jul 5, 2026

    +$70K

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 37% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$67K

  • Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed Sep 8, 2026

    +$64K

  • Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

    Switzerland · entry 39% · closed Jul 7, 2026

    +$61K

  • France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

    Under · entry 51% · closed Jul 14, 2026

    +$59K

  • Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

    Legacy · entry 41% · closed Aug 27, 2026

    +$59K

  • Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

    Under · entry 42% · closed Jul 11, 2026

    +$59K

  • United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

    Belgium · entry 47% · closed Jul 7, 2026

    +$53K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs

    TEAM VISION · entry 56% · closed Aug 23, 2026

    −$56K

  • Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

    Scotland · entry 52% · closed Jun 25, 2026

    −$28K

  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    No · entry 42% · closed Oct 21, 2026

    −$19K

  • Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

    No · entry 69% · closed Jul 7, 2026

    −$10K

  • LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

    No · entry 70% · closed Sep 10, 2026

    −$8,974

  • Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    Yes · entry 46% · closed Oct 21, 2026

    −$5,755

  • Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    No · entry 96% · closed Aug 31, 2026

    −$4,600

  • Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5

    Under · entry 22% · closed Jun 25, 2026

    −$4,400

  • Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

    No · entry 87% · closed Sep 22, 2026

    −$4,291

  • Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

    No · entry 34% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    −$4,097

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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