tiburon has made $3,425 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #34,706 all time by profit, with 2.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$3,425
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.3M
- Portfolio value
- $95K
- Profit this month
- −$17K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 55%
How tiburon has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 109 (55%) ended in profit and 91 in a loss, for +$7,021 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 8 largest open positions listed below, worth $95K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 80% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Gukesh · entry 52% · closed Dec 12, 2024
+$48K

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 14% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$22K

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 31% · closed May 29, 2026
+$19K

Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
No · entry 73% · closed Feb 10, 2025
+$16K

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$13K

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
No · entry 71% · closed Nov 17, 2024
+$11K

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
No · entry 49% · closed Jul 14, 2026
+$7,811

Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
No · entry 30% · closed May 18, 2025
+$6,897

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
No · entry 73% · closed May 9, 2025
+$5,307

Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29?
No · entry 20% · closed Dec 1, 2024
+$4,275
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Yes · entry 44% · closed May 29, 2026
−$15K

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
No · entry 62% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$14K

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Yes · entry 30% · closed May 6, 2025
−$14K

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
No · entry 31% · closed Apr 30, 2025
−$13K

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 23% · closed May 29, 2026
−$9,695

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
No · entry 67% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$9,314

Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
No · entry 72% · closed May 18, 2025
−$8,875

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
No · entry 12% · closed Nov 26, 2024
−$8,481

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 35% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$7,767

Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
Yes · entry 88% · closed May 16, 2025
−$7,726
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 75%, now 62% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$76K
−$16K P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 17%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,199
−$6,259 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 16%, now 13% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,967
−$853 P&L

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 83%, now >99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,648
+$609 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 43%, now 12% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,659
−$6,876 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 30%, now 26% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,826
−$292 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No · entry 13%, now 14% · ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 11%, now 1% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16
−$154 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 12%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.