Humble-Monk has made $55K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,365 all time by profit, with 6.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$55K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 6.6M
- Portfolio value
- $47K
- Profit this month
- +$239K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 49%
How Humble-Monk has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 98 (49%) ended in profit and 100 in a loss, for +$68K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 29%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 92 of the 198 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $47K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?” (Yes) at 38% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$19K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$11K
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
No · entry 23% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$7,326
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$5,624
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
No · entry 20% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$5,143
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$4,660
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 45% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$4,606
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$4,010
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 27, 2026
+$4,007
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
No · entry 8% · closed May 26, 2026
+$3,156
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
No · entry 30% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$6,282
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed May 27, 2026
−$6,182
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$3,864
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$3,556
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed May 27, 2026
−$3,393
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · entry 10% · closed May 27, 2026
−$3,027
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No · entry 31% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$2,441
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed May 27, 2026
−$2,369
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$2,215
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$2,143
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 15%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$15K P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 21%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$5,872
+$4,625 P&L
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 23%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,605
+$4,302 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
No · entry 27%, now 31% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,147
+$526 P&L
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 56%, now 70% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,297
+$646 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 40%, now 46% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$3,118
+$382 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 70%, now 70% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,780
−$20 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 30%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$1,999
+$1,397 P&L
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Yes · entry 22%, now 98% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,587
+$1,235 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 19%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$581
−$646 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Yes · entry 2%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$125
+$122 P&L
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$88
−$325 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 1%, now 0.3% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$44
−$134 P&L
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 46%, now 0.3% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$40
−$7,400 P&L
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.4% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32
−$82 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 13%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Bought Yes at 0.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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