bigshort has made $18K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #8,941 all time by profit, with 1.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$18K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.1M
- Portfolio value
- $22K
- Profit this month
- +$761
- Win rate (last 193 closed)
- 86%
How bigshort has traded
Across the 193 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 166 (86%) ended in profit and 27 in a loss, for +$7,902 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 85%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $22K together, the biggest is “Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
No · entry 90% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,917
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$1,564
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Jun 3, 2025
+$1,125
Netanyahu out by March 31?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$1,093
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 8, 2026
+$960
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$858
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Jan 23, 2026
+$709
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Oct 30, 2025
+$613
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
No · entry 80% · closed Apr 29, 2025
+$534
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 13, 2026
+$519
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
Yes · entry 62% · closed Dec 24, 2025
−$1,675
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
No · entry 69% · closed Oct 21, 2025
−$1,464
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 79% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$1,295
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$1,260
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 85% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$1,246
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No · entry 97% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$865
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
No · entry 96% · closed Nov 24, 2025
−$671
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 19, 2025
−$579
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$437
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 23, 2026
−$373
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,838
−$10 P&L
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,719
+$481 P&L
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,109
+$70 P&L
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,923
+$126 P&L
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,830
+$76 P&L
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,670
+$1 P&L
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,450
+$171 P&L
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Yes · entry 71%, now 96% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,354
+$358 P&L
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes · entry 81%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$820
+$7 P&L
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Yes · entry 75%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$779
+$48 P&L
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No · entry 81%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$509
+$47 P&L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$492
+$42 P&L
Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$429
+$6 P&L
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$284
+$4 P&L
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No · entry 72%, now 69% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$208
−$7 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Sold No at 96%
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 92%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Bought No at 90%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Bought No at 90%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Bought Yes at 73%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Bought Yes at 80%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Bought Yes at 80%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Bought No at 92%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 73%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Bought No at 93%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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