Diligent-Calculus
0x21a2…5f83 · Joined January 16, 2026
Diligent-Calculus is down $155K in realized results on Polymarket, with 9.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$155K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9.5M
- Portfolio value
- $29K
- Profit this month
- +$1,654
- Win rate (last 27 closed)
- 81%
How Diligent-Calculus has traded
Across all 27 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 22 (81%) ended in profit and 5 in a loss, for +$131K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 13 of the 27 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $29K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House” (Yes) at 49% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$108K
Spread: France (-2.5)
France · entry 57% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$4,326
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$3,829
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$3,674
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$3,434
Lakers vs. Bulls
Lakers · entry 51% · closed Jan 30, 2026
+$2,559
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$2,410
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Usyk · entry 93% · closed May 29, 2026
+$2,333
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Aug 19, 2026
+$1,657
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Jan 17, 2026
+$1,364
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
G2 Esports · entry 76% · closed Feb 6, 2026
−$3,300
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Fnatic · entry 21% · closed Feb 2, 2026
−$585
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Karmine Corp Blue · entry 22% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$302
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$58
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jan 30, 2026
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 26%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$307 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 54%, now 60% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,748
+$768 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 33%, now 36% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,003
+$141 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 21%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,344
−$40 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 14%, now 17% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,020
+$213 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 91%, now 87% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$931
−$38 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 80%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$497
+$1 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 58%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$390
−$1,760 P&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 17%, now 15% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$311
−$29 P&L
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Yes · entry 88%, now 89% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$153
+$1 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 36%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47
−$152 P&L
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Yes · entry 7%, now 7% · market ended
$34
−$3 P&L
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 76%, now 82% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 82%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No · entry 54%, now 35% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Bought Yes at 17%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 33%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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