Extroverted-Development
0x2132…7657 · Joined March 29, 2026
Extroverted-Development has made $6,461 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #21,124 all time by profit, with 617K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$6,461
- All-time volume (shares)
- 617K
- Portfolio value
- $15K
- Profit this month
- +$387
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 65%
How Extroverted-Development has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (65%) ended in profit and 69 in a loss, for +$9,511 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 32% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$1,823

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$1,726

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Sep 15, 2026
+$1,285

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
No · entry 74% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$1,238

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$943

Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$821

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
No · entry 39% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$753

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$752

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No · entry 60% · closed Jul 30, 2026
+$689

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jul 24, 2026
+$648
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No · entry 48% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$1,640

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No · entry 54% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$1,510

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$958

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
No · entry 42% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$883

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$500

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
No · entry 7% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$385

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$352

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Canada · entry 36% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$282

Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$250

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 22% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$249
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,890
−$193 P&L

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 42%, now 33% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,016
−$570 P&L

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 58%, now 68% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,823
+$256 P&L

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 58%, now 72% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,642
+$322 P&L

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No · entry 17%, now 21% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,250
+$224 P&L

Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 72% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$827
+$136 P&L

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 77%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$766
+$72 P&L

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes · entry 76%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$587
+$45 P&L

Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$381
−$1 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 65%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$309
+$81 P&L

Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes · entry 20%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$139
−$51 P&L

Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Yes · entry 21%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$122
−$27 P&L

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23%, now 22% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$120
−$4 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 14% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$95
−$151 P&L

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
No · entry 31%, now 12% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$81
−$136 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 87%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Sold Yes at 14%
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Sold Yes at 33%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 73%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 39%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
Bought No at 64%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Bought No at 64%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Bought No at 64%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Sold Yes at 2%
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?

Sold Yes at 36%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 70%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Sold Yes at 36%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 70%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 70%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Sold Yes at 36%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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