walnutpeanut
0x205b…8edf · Joined April 14, 2026
walnutpeanut has made $5,012 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #25,660 all time by profit, with 9.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$5,012
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9.6M
- Portfolio value
- $15K
- Profit this month
- −$890
- Win rate (last 114 closed)
- 43%
How walnutpeanut has traded
Across all 114 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 49 (43%) ended in profit and 65 in a loss, for +$18K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 40%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 22% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$10K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 44% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$2,673
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed May 1, 2026
+$2,589
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves · entry 54% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$1,512
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$1,308
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$1,240
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 65% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$1,202
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals · entry 73% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$1,066
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$769
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Sep 10, 2026
+$747
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
No · entry 52% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$2,951
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$1,278
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 0.5% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$962
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$666
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Jul 11, 2026
−$600
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
No · entry 2% · closed May 1, 2026
−$507
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$498
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$438
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$432
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$431
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 70%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,436
+$116 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 29%, now 74% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,399
+$2,086 P&L
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 69%, now 89% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,390
+$543 P&L
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 71%, now 71% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,878
−$2 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,411
−$11 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,389
−$33 P&L
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$945
+$60 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 70%, now >99% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$361
+$107 P&L
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$230
+$28 P&L
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 12%, now 10% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 12%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 64%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 64%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 64%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 64%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 21%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 92%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sold No at 98%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 78%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 68%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold Yes at 77%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought Yes at 73%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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