lpgb has made $39K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,567 all time by profit, with 822K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$39K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 822K
- Portfolio value
- $175
- Profit this month
- +$31K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 46%
How lpgb has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 92 (46%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for +$30K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 46%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 87 of the 198 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $75 together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 10%-15%?” (No) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 7% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$9,806

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 67% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$8,349

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$7,387

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 23% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$5,059

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 27% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$4,862

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$4,140

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 37% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$3,132

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 23% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$2,615

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
No · entry 30% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$2,438

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
No · entry 62% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$1,756
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$6,186

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$1,816

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$1,648

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$941

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$938

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$876

Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$793

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$673

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$575

Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$509
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 10%-15%?
No · entry 75%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026

Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Yes · entry 20%, now 0.9% · ends Dec 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8
−$163 P&L

Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 2% · ends Nov 29, 2026

Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?
No · entry 26%, now 8% · ends Oct 31, 2026

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now 0.7% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5
−$153 P&L

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?
No · entry 81%, now 94% · ends Jan 11, 2027

Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?
Yes · entry 6%, now 80% · ends Oct 25, 2026

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$3
−$72 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will LOS win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will LOS win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will LOS win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 35%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 67%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?

Bought No at 15%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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