nverg is down $107 in realized results on Polymarket, with 254K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 13, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$107
- All-time volume (shares)
- 254K
- Portfolio value
- $26
- Profit this month
- +$605
- Win rate (last 18 closed)
- 50%
How nverg has traded
Across all 18 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 9 (50%) ended in profit and 9 in a loss, for −$107 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 70%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $26 together, the biggest is “Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?” (No) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 73% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$970
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 24, 2026
+$312
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$105
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Dec 31, 2025
+$71
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Sep 18, 2026
+$67
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Apr 23, 2025
+$28
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
No · entry 72% · closed Jan 4, 2026
+$11
Will inflation increase by 2.5% or less in November?
No · entry 94% · closed Dec 18, 2024
+$4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
No · entry 85% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$3
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$826
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$420
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Oct 13, 2026
−$141
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
No · entry 63% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$109
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$102
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 41% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$80
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Dec 18, 2024
−$0
China wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 16, 2025
−$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Dec 18, 2024
−$0
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
No · entry 80%, now 98% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 32%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Sold Yes at 32%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Sold No at 40%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 33%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Bought Yes at 33%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Bought No at 41%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?
Sold No at 83%
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 73%
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
$7,081
Sold Yes at 70%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$6,440
Sold Yes at 71%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$639
Bought Yes at 67%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$1,005
Bought Yes at 67%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$5,762
Sold No at 62%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
$744
Sold No at 62%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
$6,014
Bought No at 64%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
$6
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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