peasant has made $93K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,094 all time by profit, with 12M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$93K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 12M
- Portfolio value
- $107K
- Profit this month
- +$2,758
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 54%
How peasant has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 108 (54%) ended in profit and 91 in a loss, for +$304K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $107K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House” (Yes) at 31% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
No · entry 50% · closed Aug 1, 2025
+$97K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
No · entry 71% · closed Aug 16, 2025
+$64K
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Dec 19, 2024
+$54K
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Dec 21, 2024
+$53K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Mar 14, 2026
+$52K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$49K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
No · entry 74% · closed Sep 16, 2025
+$48K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
No · entry 59% · closed Jul 16, 2025
+$48K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
No · entry 67% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$48K
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jun 10, 2026
+$46K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
No · entry 57% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$98K
US-China trade deal before June?
No · entry 65% · closed May 19, 2025
−$69K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 75% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$62K
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
No · entry 56% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$47K
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Nov 19, 2025
−$29K
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
No · entry 46% · closed Nov 14, 2025
−$21K
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
No · entry 51% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$20K
Ripple above $3.20 on January 24?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jan 24, 2025
−$20K
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$18K
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
No · entry 48% · closed Feb 12, 2025
−$16K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 63%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33K
+$761 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 62%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$1,671 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 61%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$308 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 68%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
−$400 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
−$225 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes · entry 25%, now 31% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,309
+$1,226 P&L
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 46%, now 45% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,578
−$55 P&L
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.8% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,032
−$2,289 P&L
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No · entry 62%, now 57% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,725
−$135 P&L
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$888
−$592 P&L
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 15%, now <0.1% · ended Dec 6, 2026
$1
−$291 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 66%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 68%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Bought No at 59%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 59%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 59%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 59%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Bought No at 59%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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