4e2fbc2acf has made $19K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #8,260 all time by profit, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$19K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $52K
- Profit this month
- +$469
- Win rate (last 140 closed)
- 93%
How 4e2fbc2acf has traded
Across all 140 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 130 (93%) ended in profit and 10 in a loss, for +$19K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 93%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $52K together, the biggest is “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?” (No) at 58% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
No · entry 81% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$6,831
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$1,715
GTA VI released before June 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$1,643
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed May 19, 2026
+$1,554
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$1,082
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,004
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 10, 2025
+$507
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Dec 12, 2025
+$495
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 75% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$488
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Jul 9, 2026
+$355
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$881
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
No · entry 80% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$253
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Dec 15, 2025
−$192
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Feb 5, 2026
−$100
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$20
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$19
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$14
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Dec 17, 2025
−$5
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
No · entry 50% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$4
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$30K
+$15 P&L
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Mar 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$68 P&L
GTA VI released by October 31?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$3,695
+$138 P&L
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Yes · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,208
+$5 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$994
−$1 P&L
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?
Yes · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Nov 19, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$992
+$11 P&L
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$911
+$16 P&L
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
Yes · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought Yes at >99%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
Bought Yes at >99%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Bought Yes at >99%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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