lumie has made $1,572 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #62,635 all time by profit, with 238K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 17, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,572
- All-time volume (shares)
- 238K
- Portfolio value
- $23
- Profit this month
- −$2
- Win rate (last 21 closed)
- 38%
How lumie has traded
Across all 21 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 8 (38%) ended in profit and 13 in a loss, for +$1,572 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $23 together, the biggest is “EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?” (No) at 85% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET
Up · entry 50% · closed Jan 4, 2026
+$2,650
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
No · entry 59% · closed Sep 10, 2026
+$1,283
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?
No · entry 39% · closed Mar 13, 2025
+$64
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
No · entry 65% · closed Sep 10, 2026
+$50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Sep 11, 2026
+$33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$32
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$2
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Mar 23, 2026
−$1,225
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 72% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$520
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Sep 8, 2026
−$215
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$206
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$133
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 79% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$77
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
No · entry 79% · closed Dec 31, 2025
−$54
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$47
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
No · entry 72% · closed Sep 11, 2026
−$41
Red Wings vs. Hurricanes
Red Wings · entry 33% · closed Apr 22, 2025
−$28
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Yes · entry 20%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold No at 77%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$3,483
Bought No at 79%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$3,560
Sold No at 62%
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
$3,224
Bought No at 72%
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
$3,744
Sold Yes at 85%
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$850
Sold Yes at 85%
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$2,550
Sold Yes at 85%
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$595
Bought Yes at 86%
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
$4,042
Sold No at 70%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
$1,474
Sold No at 70%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
$562
Sold Yes at 63%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
$2,079
Bought Yes at 62%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
$2,046
Bought No at 72%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
$2,076
Sold No at 66%
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
$3,300
Bought No at 65%
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
$3,250
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.