
HerlihyM92 has made $39K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,516 all time by profit, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$39K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $46K
- Profit this month
- +$737
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 50%
How HerlihyM92 has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 100 (50%) ended in profit and 99 in a loss, for +$20K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 48%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $42K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed May 19, 2026
+$10K

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$5,214

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$3,222

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
No · entry 93% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$3,146

Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Dec 4, 2024
+$2,896

Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Yes · entry 19% · closed May 17, 2026
+$2,587

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Apr 1, 2025
+$1,980

Starmer out in 2025?
No · entry 94% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,906

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
No · entry 57% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$1,811

Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
No · entry 80% · closed Feb 6, 2026
+$1,767
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Tate · entry 81% · closed Dec 21, 2025
−$4,171

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Mar 31, 2026
−$1,151

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed May 20, 2026
−$1,086

Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed May 20, 2026
−$1,060

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 79% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$830

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 76% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$795

Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Mar 14, 2026
−$769

Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Feb 22, 2026
−$753

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Apr 12, 2026
−$708

Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
No · entry 54% · closed Nov 21, 2024
−$680
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$63 P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$510 P&L

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,562
+$9 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 66%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,320
+$467 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 31%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,406
+$227 P&L

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,213
+$1 P&L

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,063
+$755 P&L

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,049
+$205 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$978
+$30 P&L

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 66%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$894
+$102 P&L

Will Sligo Rovers be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?
Yes · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$871
+$33 P&L

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 6%, now 43% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$865
+$745 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$820
+$30 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 74%, now 87% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$743
+$112 P&L

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No · entry 88%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$724
+$20 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 71%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 75%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 96%
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 96%
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 96%
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought No at 96%
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 90%
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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