Valen9 has made $229K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #925 all time by profit, with 33M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$229K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 33M
- Portfolio value
- $582K
- Profit this month
- −$50K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 48%
How Valen9 has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 96 (48%) ended in profit and 103 in a loss, for −$239K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $436K together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (No) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$241K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$146K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$86K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$71K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 35% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$27K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$24K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$23K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$21K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$16K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$15K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$84K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$56K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$53K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$32K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$27K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$27K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$26K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
No · entry 63% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$24K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$24K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$20K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$92K
+$3,606 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$68K
+$445 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$48K
−$2,560 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$46K
+$1,525 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 54%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$3,901 P&L
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$518 P&L
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$65 P&L
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No · entry 70%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
−$3,158 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes · entry 65%, now 36% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
−$14K P&L
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$425 P&L
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 83%, now 73% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$15K
−$2,244 P&L
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No · entry 70%, now 78% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$1,600 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 88% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$220 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 75%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$1,069 P&L
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$183 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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