
12xmrbolt is down $10K in realized results on Polymarket, with 2.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$10K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.7M
- Portfolio value
- $508
- Profit this month
- +$19K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 52%
How 12xmrbolt has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 104 (52%) ended in profit and 96 in a loss, for +$30K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 196 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $508 together, the biggest is “Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (Yes) at 95% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo · entry 2% · closed May 28, 2026
+$7,475

Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane
Thanasi Kokkinakis · entry 28% · closed May 25, 2026
+$5,760

Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet · entry 23% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$5,286

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$4,500

Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic · entry 54% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$4,406

Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Tatiana Prozorova
Tatiana Prozorova · entry 37% · closed Sep 25, 2026
+$4,397

Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev
Beibit Zhukayev · entry 42% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$4,191

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie
Tien · entry 56% · closed Oct 6, 2025
+$4,038

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Casper Ruud · entry 80% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$3,768

Jingshan: Sijia Wei vs Fiona Ferro
Sijia Wei · entry 73% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$3,744
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jul 2, 2025
−$19K

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
No · entry 43% · closed Jul 2, 2025
−$7,340

Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane
Terence Atmane · entry 80% · closed May 25, 2026
−$6,419

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
No · entry 16% · closed Jul 2, 2025
−$5,500

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Jannik Sinner · entry 65% · closed May 28, 2026
−$5,234

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 35% · closed Jul 2, 2025
−$5,113

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie
Norrie · entry 48% · closed Oct 6, 2025
−$5,012

Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau
Stan Wawrinka · entry 67% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$3,904

Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Tatiana Prozorova
Xinyu Wang · entry 69% · closed Sep 25, 2026
−$3,657

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks
Ena Shibahara · entry 53% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$3,286
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.7% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$485
−$756 P&L

Seoul: Beibit Zhukayev vs Coleman Wong
Beibit Zhukayev · entry 17%, now 18% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Recent trades

Bought Beibit Zhukayev at 17%
Seoul: Beibit Zhukayev vs Coleman Wong

Bought Beibit Zhukayev at 17%
Seoul: Beibit Zhukayev vs Coleman Wong

Sold Harriet Dart at 92%
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova

Bought Harriet Dart at 63%
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova

Bought Harriet Dart at 16%
Set 2 Winner: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova

Bought Harriet Dart at 17%
Set 2 Winner: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova

Bought Paula Badosa at 68%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Paula Badosa at 66%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Paula Badosa at 68%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Paula Badosa at 65%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Paula Badosa at 61%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Paula Badosa at 61%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Paula Badosa at 62%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Carol Young Suh Lee at 40%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Bought Carol Young Suh Lee at 42%
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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