PMTraderAdam has made $33K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #5,285 all time by profit, with 2.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$33K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.8M
- Portfolio value
- $54K
- Profit this month
- −$2,048
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 89%
How PMTraderAdam has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 178 (89%) ended in profit and 22 in a loss, for +$4,289 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $34K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$1,682
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Dec 19, 2025
+$1,219
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
No · entry 34% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$1,215
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$1,079
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
No · entry 44% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$891
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$817
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 83% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$720
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Feb 12, 2026
+$700
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$699
Peter Attia out by February 15?
No · entry 47% · closed Feb 17, 2026
+$669
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,072
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$1,028
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$978
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$948
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
No · entry 80% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$737
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 69% · closed Oct 6, 2026
−$734
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 43% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$591
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
No · entry 52% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$544
Will DraftKings acquire Railbird by October 31?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 21, 2025
−$525
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
No · entry 56% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$503
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,923
−$215 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,700
+$20 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,203
+$103 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 69%, now 75% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,719
+$208 P&L
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 85%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,013
+$137 P&L
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,987
+$15 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 85%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,985
+$199 P&L
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,838
+$1 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 46%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$1,682
+$224 P&L
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No · entry 83%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,590
+$163 P&L
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,565
−$41 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,429
+$14 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,380
+$90 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 56%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,048
+$117 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,040
+$14 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 86%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 75%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Bought No at 89%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Bought No at 89%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 75%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Sold Yes at 23%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 88%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.