Arden312 has made $1,240 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #72,084 all time by profit, with 43K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 5, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,240
- All-time volume (shares)
- 43K
- Profit this month
- +$3
- Win rate (last 122 closed)
- 92%
How Arden312 has traded
Across all 122 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 112 (92%) ended in profit and 10 in a loss, for +$1,240 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 91%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.30% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Mar 27, 2026
+$273
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No · entry 25% · closed Jan 13, 2026
+$136
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
No · entry 47% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$104
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$82
Will Airbnb say "World Cup" during earnings call?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Aug 6, 2026
+$55
Will Disney say "Doomsday" during earnings call?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Aug 5, 2026
+$50
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$50
Will Airbnb say "Boutique" during earnings call?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Aug 6, 2026
+$42
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$26
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$26
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$83
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Jan 22, 2026
−$18
Will "Monster" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?
No · entry 51% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jan 16, 2026
−$11
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 89% · closed May 22, 2026
−$8
Will Klarna say "Sweden" during earnings call?
No · entry 62% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$5
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$4
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Sep 2, 2026
−$1
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
No · entry 97% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$0
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Bought No at 99%
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?
$79
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
$1
Bought Yes at 87%
Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call?
$9
Bought Yes at 87%
Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call?
$9
Bought Yes at 84%
Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call?
$8
Bought No at 98%
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?
$78
Bought Yes at 90%
Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call?
$18
Bought No at 99%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$1,084
Bought No at 98%
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?
$39
Bought No at 98%
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?
$30
Bought No at 97%
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?
$185
Bought Yes at 91%
Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call?
$71
Bought No at 99%
Will the earnings call not air?
$5
Bought No at 95%
Will the earnings call not air?
$59
Bought No at 99%
Will the earnings call not air?
$46
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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