flywheel
0x0f4d…b03c · Joined November 3, 2024
flywheel is down $5,334 in realized results on Polymarket, with 48K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$5,334
- All-time volume (shares)
- 48K
- Portfolio value
- $6,328
- Profit this month
- +$62
- Win rate (last 15 closed)
- 27%
How flywheel has traded
Across all 15 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 4 (27%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for +$62 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 25%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,328 together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 68% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jan 20, 2025
+$620
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
No · entry 32% · closed Jan 1, 2025
+$133
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jan 20, 2025
+$35
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Dec 23, 2024
+$13
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jun 25, 2025
−$351
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$106
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$105
Hyperliquid exploit before February?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Jun 25, 2025
−$50
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$40
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$37
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$17
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$15
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$10
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,301
+$133 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 70% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,468
−$32 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$559
−$40 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 36%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 74%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 71%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 33%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.7%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$8
Bought Yes at 14%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$771
Bought Yes at 21%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$3,008
Bought Argentina at 30%
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$96
Bought Yes at 22%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
$1,357
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
$351
Bought Yes at 35%
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
$40
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
$748
Bought Yes at 13%
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
$55
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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