smthlki is down $2,953 in realized results on Polymarket, with 246K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$2,953
- All-time volume (shares)
- 246K
- Portfolio value
- $6,241
- Profit this month
- +$82
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 44%
How smthlki has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 88 (44%) ended in profit and 112 in a loss, for −$3,374 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 142 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,241 together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 65% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?
No · entry 11% · closed Jan 24, 2026
+$647
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?
No · entry 37% · closed Mar 17, 2026
+$337
Flyers vs. Kings
Flyers · entry 38% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$326
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?
No · entry 32% · closed Feb 13, 2026
+$325
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
No · entry 25% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$312
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres · entry 53% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$269
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?
No · entry 37% · closed Feb 11, 2026
+$255
Timberwolves vs. Jazz
Jazz · entry 16% · closed Jan 21, 2026
+$219
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Mar 19, 2026
+$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Top Esports · entry 29% · closed Jan 30, 2026
+$196
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Apr 19, 2026
−$1,619
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 80% · closed Apr 19, 2026
−$447
Lakers vs. Rockets
Rockets · entry 50% · closed Mar 26, 2026
−$320
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?
No · entry 24% · closed Mar 10, 2026
−$213
Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?
No · entry 64% · closed Mar 26, 2026
−$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
No · entry 65% · closed Mar 26, 2026
−$200
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?
No · entry 52% · closed Mar 26, 2026
−$200
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?
No · entry 63% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$200
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?
No · entry 23% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$200
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
Under · entry 24% · closed Apr 19, 2026
−$196
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 72%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,083
+$83 P&L
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Mbappé · entry 74%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,536
+$36 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 68%, now 71% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$622
+$22 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Mbappé at 74%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought No at 72%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought No at 37%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$10
Bought Detroit Tigers at 45%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
$10
Bought Over at 51%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
$10
Bought Over at 51%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
$10
Bought Over at 53%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
$10
Bought Over at 54%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
$10
Bought Under at 54%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5
$10
Bought Yes at 26%
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$10
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$10
Bought No at 57%
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$10
Bought Vancouver Surge at 24%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs
$10
Bought M80 at 43%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
$10
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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