minisobaby is down $43K in realized results on Polymarket, with 3.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 17, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$43K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.4M
- Portfolio value
- $41K
- Profit this month
- +$460
- Win rate (last 84 closed)
- 77%
How minisobaby has traded
Across all 84 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 65 (77%) ended in profit and 19 in a loss, for −$43K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $41K together, the biggest is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” (No) at 54% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Epstein client list released by June 30?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$10K
Epstein client list released in 2025?
No · entry 90% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$9,441
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 11, 2026
+$5,127
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
No · entry 97% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,936
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Oct 30, 2025
+$2,691
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$2,636
Xi Jinping out before October?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 1, 2025
+$2,239
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,194
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Dec 20, 2025
+$2,036
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Yes · entry 77% · closed May 13, 2026
+$1,718
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$63K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$11K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$7,917
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$4,802
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
No · entry 3% · closed Dec 28, 2025
−$3,571
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$3,551
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
No · entry 89% · closed Dec 20, 2025
−$3,240
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jan 16, 2026
−$2,500
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$2,433
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Nov 28, 2025
−$1,281
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 87%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$2,017 P&L
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,405
+$264 P&L
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,252
+$251 P&L
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,107
+$107 P&L
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,480
+$22 P&L
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$730
+$26 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 95%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 96%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 96%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 96%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$5,001
Bought Yes at >99%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$6,000
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$162
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$242
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$149
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$114
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$1,981
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$8
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$679
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$710
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
$655
Bought Yes at 90%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
$675
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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