Pol40 has made $8,085 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #17,793 all time by profit, with 211K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$8,085
- All-time volume (shares)
- 211K
- Portfolio value
- $20K
- Profit this month
- −$199
- Win rate (last 67 closed)
- 87%
How Pol40 has traded
Across all 67 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 58 (87%) ended in profit and 9 in a loss, for +$10K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 78%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $20K together, the biggest is “Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 25% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 28% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$2,660
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 55% · closed May 16, 2026
+$2,164
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Jan 8, 2026
+$1,152
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
No · entry 59% · closed May 18, 2025
+$749
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$485
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
No · entry 94% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$410
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?
No · entry 96% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$403
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 87% · closed Jan 8, 2026
+$332
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Jan 8, 2026
+$308
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
No · entry 85% · closed Jan 8, 2026
+$300
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Feb 14, 2026
−$1,150
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Feb 14, 2026
−$850
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Feb 14, 2026
−$280
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?
No · entry 38% · closed Dec 29, 2025
−$101
Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
No · entry 2% · closed May 18, 2025
−$2
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jun 2, 2025
−$2
Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
No · entry 8% · closed May 18, 2025
−$2
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
Yes · entry 4% · closed May 18, 2025
−$2
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Yes · entry 28% · closed May 18, 2025
−$1
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,989
−$11 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,973
−$27 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,984
−$16 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,946
−$54 P&L
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,989
−$11 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,989
−$11 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 48%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$165
−$315 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 83%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 91%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 92%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 96%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 96%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
$2,000
Bought Yes at 60%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$60
Bought No at 91%
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$139
Bought No at 91%
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$1,222
Bought No at 94%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$1,000
Bought Under at 43%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
$431
Bought Under at 90%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
$360
Bought Under at 90%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
$11
Bought Under at 90%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
$506
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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