Madsolbro
0x0e09…05bb · Joined January 21, 2026
Madsolbro is down $5,474 in realized results on Polymarket, with 529K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$5,474
- All-time volume (shares)
- 529K
- Portfolio value
- $22K
- Profit this month
- +$2,361
- Win rate (last 122 closed)
- 64%
How Madsolbro has traded
Across all 122 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 78 (64%) ended in profit and 44 in a loss, for +$410 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 53%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $22K together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (No) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$1,190
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$972
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$576
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$400
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jun 11, 2026
+$394
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Jun 28, 2026
+$371
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$361
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes · entry 99% · closed May 11, 2026
+$330
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$325
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$292
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$5,610
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$1,004
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$836
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$637
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jun 23, 2026
−$537
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$400
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$383
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$345
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$200
US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Feb 4, 2026
−$182
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,973
−$27 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,023
+$23 P&L
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 51%, now 70% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,387
+$887 P&L
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 58%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,005
+$526 P&L
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,712
+$13 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,138
+$138 P&L
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,054
+$54 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$995
−$5 P&L
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 86%, now 88% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$509
+$9 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 68%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$482
−$18 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 74%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$432
+$32 P&L
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 52%, now 52% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$407
−$3 P&L
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$213
+$63 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 42%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 16%, now 15% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Recent trades
Bought No at 92%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 86%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought Yes at 68%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 6%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 51%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought No at 97%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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