tugator is down $5,631 in realized results on Polymarket, with 4.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$5,631
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.8M
- Portfolio value
- $127K
- Profit this month
- +$3,312
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 42%
How tugator has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 83 (42%) ended in profit and 117 in a loss, for −$112K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 162 of the 200 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $116K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (Yes) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 0.8% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$6,734

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Up · entry 50% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$5,600

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Up · entry 51% · closed Jul 16, 2026
+$4,646

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$3,749

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Down · entry 50% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$3,200

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Up · entry 50% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$2,879

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Up · entry 50% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$2,000

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 0.8% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$1,869

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Down · entry 49% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$1,632

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Up · entry 43% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$1,218
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$10K

Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$9,373

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$9,365

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$7,470

Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$6,904

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$6,880

Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$6,861

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Up · entry 49% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$6,762

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Up · entry 49% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$6,272

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$6,238
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$26K P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 1.0%, now 13% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$13K P&L

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$13K P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 2%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$9,238 P&L

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$9,854 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$9,905 P&L

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,399
−$9 P&L

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,974
+$8 P&L

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 4% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,775
+$3,780 P&L

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,098
+$2,277 P&L

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,489
+$5 P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 18% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,958
+$1,872 P&L

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 2% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,794
+$1,110 P&L

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,657
+$1,202 P&L

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,500
+$1,031 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at >99%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Bought No at >99%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Bought No at >99%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Bought No at 98%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at 98%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at 97%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought No at >99%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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