most8 is down $840 in realized results on Polymarket, with 89K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$840
- All-time volume (shares)
- 89K
- Portfolio value
- $47K
- Profit this month
- +$247
- Win rate (last 6 closed)
- 83%
How most8 has traded
Across all 6 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 5 (83%) ended in profit and 1 in a loss, for +$1,428 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $47K together, the biggest is “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No) at 60% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$640

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
No · entry 67% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$624

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$289

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jul 30, 2026
+$275

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Aug 19, 2026
+$200
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$600
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$1,250 P&L

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,804
+$284 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,935
+$1,015 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,818
−$158 P&L

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,860
+$112 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,830
+$130 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$895
+$95 P&L

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$850
−$40 P&L

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
No · entry 61%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$121
−$313 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 41%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
$302

Sold No at 53%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
$1,004

Sold No at 58%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
$61

Bought No at 80%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
$727

Bought No at 80%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
$24

Bought No at 80%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
$25

Bought No at 80%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
$24

Bought No at 85%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$2,975

Bought No at 89%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
$886

Sold No at 41%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
$0

Bought No at 85%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
$1,700

Sold No at 41%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
$78

Sold No at 41%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
$3

Sold No at 41%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
$59

Sold No at 41%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
$4
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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