Folletin has made $73K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,617 all time by profit, with 2.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$73K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.6M
- Portfolio value
- $132K
- Profit this month
- +$9,212
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 77%
How Folletin has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 154 (77%) ended in profit and 46 in a loss, for +$67K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 67%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $123K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry 71% · closed Apr 25, 2025
+$9,406
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
No · entry 76% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$6,730
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$5,244
Epstein client list released by June 30?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,892
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 1, 2025
+$4,108
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
No · entry 73% · closed Feb 21, 2026
+$4,095
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
No · entry 86% · closed May 1, 2026
+$3,376
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$3,353
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
No · entry 71% · closed Feb 2, 2026
+$3,304
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
No · entry 83% · closed Jun 3, 2026
+$2,633
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US military action against Iran by Monday?
No · entry 86% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$14K
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
No · entry 77% · closed Feb 28, 2025
−$7,965
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
No · entry 90% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$7,566
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
No · entry 76% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$6,777
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
No · entry 61% · closed May 27, 2025
−$6,711
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
No · entry 76% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$4,418
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 70% · closed Mar 30, 2026
−$4,040
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
No · entry 91% · closed Nov 27, 2024
−$4,039
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
No · entry 67% · closed Jul 6, 2025
−$3,929
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
No · entry 58% · closed Mar 2, 2025
−$3,841
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$147 P&L
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No · entry 77%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$2,515 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 64%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$4,661 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$372 P&L
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 52%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$5,526 P&L
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$68 P&L
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No · entry 74%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,784
+$1,902 P&L
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 76%, now 61% · market ended
$5,101
−$1,337 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No · entry 71%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,948
+$729 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 71% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,347
+$11 P&L
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,171
+$785 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 36%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,802
−$641 P&L
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 8%, now 30% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,350
+$977 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
No · entry 91%, now 86% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,330
−$71 P&L
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No · entry 49%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,140
+$514 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 85%
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Bought No at 85%
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Bought No at 85%
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Sold Yes at 39%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 12%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 12%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 62%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Bought No at 91%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought No at 91%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought No at 91%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought No at 91%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought No at 91%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought Yes at 62%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Bought No at 91%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought Yes at 71%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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