6862584 is down $25K in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$25K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.0M
- Portfolio value
- $1,064
- Profit this month
- +$410
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 75%
How 6862584 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 150 (75%) ended in profit and 50 in a loss, for −$3,318 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,064 together, the biggest is “Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?” (No) at 71% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 12?
No · entry 75% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$1,112
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$1,018
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 28, 2026
+$980
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 27, 2026
+$954
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?
No · entry 92% · closed May 8, 2026
+$800
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$724
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$718
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Aug 26, 2026
+$626
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?
No · entry 95% · closed May 6, 2026
+$600
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?
No · entry 62% · closed May 27, 2026
+$540
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$10K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
No · entry 93% · closed May 11, 2026
−$5,416
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?
Yes · entry 93% · closed May 11, 2026
−$3,463
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$3,176
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
No · entry 81% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$3,056
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
No · entry 89% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$2,860
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?
No · entry 87% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$2,289
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$2,022
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?
No · entry 70% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$1,816
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
No · entry 92% · closed May 22, 2026
−$1,698
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
No · entry 82%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$755
+$138 P&L
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?
Yes · entry 55%, now 100% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$250
+$112 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?
No · entry 88%, now 100% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$50
+$6 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?
Yes · entry 83%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$8
+$1 P&L
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 26?
Yes · entry 5%, now 3% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 26?
Bought No at 82%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought No at 82%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought No at 82%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought No at 82%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Sold No at 79%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Sold No at 89%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought Yes at 17%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 26?
Bought No at 81%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought No at 81%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought No at 81%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Bought No at 81%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?
Sold No at >99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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